Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Dongguan Guanlian

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.31	4.75	7.5
	1.33	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.48	4.21	6.51
	1.33	5.17	9.15
	1.4	4	7
	1.3	5.05	8.7
	1.33	4.6	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.97)	4.65 ↑ (3.31)	7.71 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
68.2%

Draw
19.9%

Dongguan Guanlian
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heilongjiang Ice City's performance.

Dongguan Guanlian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dongguan Guanlian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heilongjiang Ice City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dongguan Guanlian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Heilongjiang Ice City - Dongguan Guanlian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Li Guanxi (G) 24. Benhaddouche C. 45. Xu Wu 40. Vidic N. 21. Kurban E. 33. Zhang Zimin 5. Zhu Jiaxuan 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 14. Wang Jinpeng 11. Erikys 19. Wen Jialong	1. Chen Junxu (G) 35. He Mingli 14. Yao Xilong 26. Su Shihao 32. Ma Junliang 42. Wu Y. 30. Huang Chuqi 2. Zhang Sijie 8. Ruan Jun 15. Sun D. 21. Cui Xinglong
Substitutes
27. Cheng H. 18. Fan Bojian 42. Liang P. 39. Lobjanidze E. 10. Muhtar Ular 32. Ren Z. 28. Shao Shuai 7. Tang Shi 29. Xu Jiajun 13. Zhang Luhao (G) 2. Zhang Yujie 4. Zhao Chengle	27. Chen H. 18. Li Canming 11. Wu Jianfei 34. Zhang X. (G) 36. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Jia S.	Wang Hongwei

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7).

Heilongjiang Ice City is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dongguan Guanlian is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Heilongjiang Ice City is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Ice City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
22.10.23	Wuxi Wugou - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1 ✺
18.10.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1 ✺
10.10.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Yanbian Longding	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTT
- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese Jia League
22.10.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
18.10.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dongguan Guanlian	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Shenzhen Peng City	0:3 ✺
09.10.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dongguan Guanlian	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
16.07.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:2

Heilongjiang Ice City - Dongguan Guanlian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide