The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Helmond Sport 40.6%
Draw 27.9%
Almere City 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
26.9%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
26.1%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almere City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Helmond Sport - Almere City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Almere City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 4% โ 71%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 50%). Almere City (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (C) 2. Ogenia J. 4. Koglin B. 28. Vos D. 5. Poll T. 26. Makanza N. 8. Llonch P. 36. Leipold A. 11. Daneels L. 34. Essakkati T. 9. Bajrami L.
12. Kuijsten T. (C) 2. Reith B. 3. Jacobs Jo. 15. Engel M. 26. van der Zeeuw T. 6. Cornelisse E. 24. Beaumont G. 8. de Haan M. 7. Burgering B. 10. Rijkhoff J. 11. Kadile J.
Substitutes
23. Aben K. (G) 27. Absalem A. 22. Dizdarevic A. 47. Geerts D. 41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 6. Ludwig M. 16. Lukowicz M. 17. Semic L. 21. Wentges H. (G)
5. Bijleveld T. 19. de Nijs O. 21. el Dahri H. 29. Huisman B. 20. Kalisvaart J. 31. Mateyo M. (G) 17. Poku E. 28. Providence R. 25. Sam A. 33. van Gom J. 32. Vianello T. 1. Wendlinger J. (G)
Coaches
Seegers J.
Rijsdijk J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Bajrami L. ⚽, Poll T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Essakkati T. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
61', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
61', Beaumont G. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
73', van der Zeeuw T. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
74', Reith B. ↓, Sam A. ↑,
75', Jacobs Jo. 🟨,
79', Bajrami L. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
83', Cornelisse E. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
83', Llonch P. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Huisman B. ⚽,
88', Leipold A. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
89', Lukowicz M. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Semic L. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There are questionable in Almere City: Engel M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
Netherlands
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Bergsen M. (C) 
Ogenia J. 
Koglin B. 
Makanza N. 
Llonch P. 
Leipold A. 
Daneels L. 
Bajrami L. 
Kadile J. 
Dizdarevic A. 
Ingason H. 
Providence R. 
van Gom J. 
Wendlinger J. (G) 
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