Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)

Referee: Shukrula S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	De Graafschap		Almere City

	1	X	2
	2.30	4.00	2.55	Watch
	2.35	3.80	2.40
	2.35	3.70	2.45	Watch
	2.38	4.22	2.60
	2.2	4.32	2.65	Watch
	2.30	4.15	2.55
	2.31	4.05	2.51	Watch
	2.30	3.90	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.14)	4.02 ↑ (3.98)	2.52 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
40.1%

Draw
23.1%

Almere City
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

23.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

24.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

De Graafschap - Almere City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Almere City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Hardeman J. (C) 3. Besselink R. 15. Kok T. 14. Bolk G. 8. Warmerdam D. 20. Finocchiaro G. 24. Meerstadt J. 27. Ahmeti N. 11. Mero T. 9. Kania J.	1. Speel W. (G) 3. Jacobs Jo. 4. Lawrence J. 22. van de Blaak E. 5. Bijleveld T. 14. Hoedemakers M. 21. el Dahri H. 6. Cornelisse E. 17. Poku E. 9. Druijf F. (C) 11. Dors M.
Substitutes
31. Bouwman S. (G) 36. Braem T. 18. Eijken D. 32. Grotenhuis T. 34. Hartgers N. 23. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 40. Kwint K. 38. Smits M. 7. van Zijl B.	7. Burgering B. 8. de Haan M. 19. de Nijs O. 25. Ghogli I. 18. Huisman B. 20. Kalisvaart J. 24. Mateyo M. (G) 44. van Bruggen D. 30. van der Wilt J. (G) 33. van Gom J. 2. Wasinski M.
Coaches
Duivenvoorden T.	Dastgir A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Hardeman J. ↓, Grotenhuis T. ↑,
28', 0 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽, Cornelisse E. (A),
43', Kok T. 🟨,
45', Hoedemakers M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Kania J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', van de Blaak E. ↓, van Bruggen D. ↑,
62', el Dahri H. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
63', Hoedemakers M. ↓, de Haan M. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Druijf F. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
74', Finocchiaro G. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
74', Kania J. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
77', Dors M. ↓, van Gom J. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Cornelisse E. ⚽, de Nijs O. (A),
83', Meerstadt J. ↓, Eijken D. ↑,
83', Grotenhuis T. ↓, Kaninda N. ↑,
84', Lawrence J. ↓, Wasinski M. ↑,
86', 1 - 4, de Nijs O. ⚽, Druijf F. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.

De Graafschap is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Almere City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Almere City: Vianello T. (Injury) van der Zeeuw T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in De Graafschap: Kwint K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Almere City: Ritmeester van de Kamp J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Almere City: 12.5% De Graafschap: 0.81%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almere City	10	7	1	2	22:7	15	22
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11

Last Results with these Odds

De Graafschap - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.22%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.08.26	VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:5 ✺
09.08.26	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	De Graafschap - Excelsior	1:5 ✺
25.07.26	De Graafschap - AE Kifisia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLW
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.08.26	Vitesse - Almere City	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	Almere City - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Den Bosch - Almere City	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Emmen - Almere City	4:0 ✺
15.07.26	Almere City - Volendam	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
09.05.26	De Graafschap - Almere City	2:2
06.05.26	Almere City - De Graafschap	3:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.01.26	Almere City - De Graafschap	2:0
29.09.25	De Graafschap - Almere City	3:2
20.01.23	Almere City - De Graafschap	2:2
16.09.22	De Graafschap - Almere City	1:2
21.01.22	De Graafschap - Almere City	1:0

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