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Current Win Probability
Willem II 49.7%
Draw 25.2%
Helmond Sport 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
24.6%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
23.9%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.7%
0%
5.3%
Willem II - Helmond Sport Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Helmond Sport (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Willem II (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Half - Willem II (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Willem II will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%). Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Willem II will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Didillon T. (G) 2. Ciranni A. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. 24. Tjoe a On N. 6. Besselink G. 7. Doodeman N. 19. van Aalst U. 20. El Allouchi M. 17. Bamba S. 28. Verheydt T.
1. Bergsen M. (G) 3. Van Den Eynden F. 4. Koglin B. 28. Vos D. 5. Poll T. 26. Makanza N. 8. Llonch P. (C) 36. Leipold A. 11. Daneels L. 34. Essakkati T. 16. Lukowicz M.
Substitutes
47. Baartmans S. 8. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 23. de Waal M. 14. Mathijsen J. . Stam F. 41. van der Linden B. (G) 22. van Loon P. 45. van Maarschalkerwaard P. 18. Zarrouk A.
23. Aben K. (G) 9. Bajrami L. 47. Geerts D. 41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 6. Ludwig M. 2. Ogenia J. 17. Semic L. 21. Wentges H. (G)
Coaches
Stegeman J.
Seegers J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Behounek R. 🟨,
32', Leipold A. 🟨,
33', Verheydt T. (Pen),
44', 1 - 0, Doodeman N. ⚽, Bamba S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
57', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
62', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
63', Verheydt T. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
63', El Allouchi M. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
70', Essakkati T. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
79', Doodeman N. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
85', Ciranni A. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
85', van Aalst U. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
86', Leipold A. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
90+1', Poll T. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 4.
Willem II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Helmond Sport has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
Netherlands
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Didillon T. (G) 
Ciranni A. 
Behounek R. 
Hoogma J. 
Tjoe a On N. 
Bamba S. 
Makanza N. 
Llonch P. (C) 
Leipold A. 
Culum A. 
Bajrami L. 
Ingason H. 
Ogenia J. 
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