Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Kanal 5


	Helsingborg		Malmö

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.57	Watch
	5.5	4	1.57
	6	4.1	1.56	Watch
	5.2	4	1.56
	6.09	4.09	1.61
	5.5	3.7	1.53	Watch
	5.6	4.15	1.56	Watch
	5.2	3.95	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↓ (6.17)	4.02 ↓ (4.3)	1.56 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
16.7%

Draw
23.3%

Malmö
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

21.6%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

21.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	27.8%	44.4%

Helsingborg - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Helsingborg will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Malmö will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation) and 6).

Helsingborg has the most likely position - 14 (44.02%), has project points - 24, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (62%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Malmö has the most likely position - 5 (20.65%), has project points - 50, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 21, small importance 26, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 0.

Recent matches Helsingborg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Malmö is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Helsingborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Malmö is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 10-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Helsingborg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.09.22	IFK Göteborg - Helsingborg	1:3 ✺
05.09.22	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:2 ✺
28.08.22	Helsingborg - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Sundsvall - Helsingborg	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Helsingborg - Sirius	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLLWT
- Malmö FF
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Saint-Gilloise - Malmö	3:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.09.22	Malmö - Norrköping	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Malmö - Braga	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.09.22	Elfsborg - Malmö	3:2 ✺
28.08.22	Malmö - Kalmar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
27.06.22	Malmö - Helsingborg	2:1
02.11.20	Helsingborg - Malmö	0:1
05.08.20	Malmö - Helsingborg	4:1
26.09.19	Malmö - Helsingborg	3:0
02.06.19	Helsingborg - Malmö	0:1
25.09.16	Malmö - Helsingborg	2:0
08.05.16	Helsingborg - Malmö	2:1

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