Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Stade Joseph Marien (Brusel)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Saint-Gilloise		Malmö

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.5
	1.55	4	6
	1.6	3.9	6.5
	1.58	4	6
	1.62	3.94	6.32
	1.57	3.9	6
	1.6	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.85)	3.98 ↑ (3.54)	6.19 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
60.5%

Draw
24%

Malmö
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27.2%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

26.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Gilloise's performance.

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Gilloise that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.3%	5.2%	19.5%

Saint Gilloise - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 58 - 75.3%). Malmö will win (votes: 15 - 19.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 65.7% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Union SG has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (22%), has a chance of 2nd (34%), has a chance of 3rd (36%), has a chance of round of 16 (28%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Malmö has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (3%), has a small chance of 3rd (11%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 43, importance 50, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Union SG is a favorite.

There will not play in Union SG: Machida K. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Malmö: Nalic A. (Knee Injury) Siby M. (Hip Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.09.22	Saint-Gilloise - Genk	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Union Berlin - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.09.22	Zulte Waregem - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
31.08.22	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	4:2 ✺
28.08.22	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWLW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.09.22	Malmö - Norrköping	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Malmö - Braga	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.09.22	Elfsborg - Malmö	3:2 ✺
28.08.22	Malmö - Kalmar	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Sivasspor - Malmö	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW

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