Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Premium


	Malmö		Braga

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.25
	3.1	3.5	2.2
	3.25	3.5	2.25
	3.05	3.55	2.27
	3.05	3.56	2.39
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	3.1	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.99)	3.52 ↑ (3.33)	2.27 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 3

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
30.9%

Draw
27.1%

Braga
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

29.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.5%	12.6%	71.8%

Malmö - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 103 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 16 - 15.5%). Braga will win (votes: 74 - 71.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 12.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 63.1% – 80.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Malmö has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (1%), has a small chance of 2nd (6%), has a chance of 3rd (24%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Braga has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (39%), has a chance of 2nd (41%), has a chance of 3rd (16%), has a good chance of round of 16 (55%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 47, importance 53, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Malmö is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Braga in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Braga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Braga will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Malmö: Lewicki O. (Injury) Nalic A. (Injury) Rieks S. (Injury) Siby M. (Injury)

There will not play in Braga: Medeiros I. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Malmö: Dahlin J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Braga: Gomez V. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.09.22	Elfsborg - Malmö	3:2 ✺
28.08.22	Malmö - Kalmar	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Sivasspor - Malmö	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.08.22	Mjällby - Malmö	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.08.22	Malmö - Sivasspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTW
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
03.09.22	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
28.08.22	Arouca - Braga	0:6 ✺
21.08.22	Braga - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
12.08.22	Famalicão - Braga	0:3 ✺
07.08.22	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWT

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