Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 15

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Dartford

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.15
	2.75	3.25	2.2
	3.1	3.5	2.1
	2.7	3.4	2.54
	3.09	3.41	2.24
	2.45	3.3	2.6
	3.04	3.48	2.15
	2.95	3.35	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.17)	3.4 (3.4)	2.27 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
32.1%

Draw
27.2%

Dartford
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hemel Hempstead Town's form might have worsened.

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dartford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dartford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 1.

Hemel Hempstead is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dartford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hemel Hempstead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
24.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Dover Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Woking - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Woking	0:0 ✺
English National League South
07.10.23	Tonbridge Angels - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLTT
- Dartford
English National League South
24.10.23	Eastbourne Borough - Dartford	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Dartford - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dartford	4:3 ✺
07.10.23	Chippenham Town - Dartford	1:4 ✺
23.09.23	Dartford - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.01.23	Dartford - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:3
29.08.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford	0:2
09.04.22	Dartford - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1
20.11.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford	2:3
10.11.20	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford	1:3
31.08.19	Dartford - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1
05.03.19	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford	1:2

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