Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.5
	2.58	3.15	2.58
	2.8	3.3	2.66
	1.91	3.22	4.14	Watch
	2.59	3.16	2.6	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.87)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.83 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
37.5%

Draw
29.4%

Yeovil Town
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.1%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.8%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hemel Hempstead Town's performance.

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yeovil Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hemel Hempstead Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeovil Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hemel Hempstead Town - Yeovil Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Noel-Williams I. 🟥,
39', 1 - 0, McKenzie M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, Greenslade H. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Wilkinson F. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Hemel Hempstead has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Yeovil has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yeovil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
04.10.25	Chippenham Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Hereford - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:3 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bishops Stortford	4:1 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWT
- Yeovil Town
English National League
04.10.25	Yeovil Town - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
30.09.25	Sutton United - Yeovil Town	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Yeovil Town - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Tamworth - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.01.24	Yeovil Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0
05.08.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Yeovil Town	1:0

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