The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Henan Songshan Longmen 46.9%
Draw 28.1%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 25%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.7%
24.9%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
26.7%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Henan Songshan Longmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henan Songshan Longmen's form might have worsened.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henan Songshan Longmen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
33. Shi Chenglong (G) 4. Shinar Yeljan 2. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 11. Muhmet N. 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 15. Haliq Ablahan 8. Pedro Maranhao 10. Bruno Nazario 7. Zhong Yihao 9. Gustavo
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 3. Wang Zhenghao 11. Xie Weijun (C) 18. Cordoba A. 6. Wang Xianjun 31. Sun Ming-Him 7. Guilherme Schettine 14. Huang Jiahui 10. Salvador C. 8. Xadas 9. Quiles A.
Substitutes
13. Abudulam A. 30. Fan Xulin 3. Gerbig O. 5. Liu Jiahui 27. Liu Yixin 39. Osman Ekber 18. Wang Guoming (G) 17. Wang Jinshuai (G) 16. Yang Kuo 25. Yang Yilin 24. Yin Congyao 29. Zheng Dalun
29. Ba Dun 24. Chen Zhexuan 28. Guo Hao 20. Ji Shengpan 38. Li S. 16. Liu Shuai 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 40. Shi Yan 30. Wang Qiuming 17. Wu Xinghan
Coaches
Ramos D.
Yu Genwei
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Haliq Ablahan 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Xadas (A),
35', Xadas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Haliq Ablahan ↓, Yin Congyao ↑,
60', Lucas Maia ↓, Gerbig O. ↑,
60', Wang Zhenghao ↓, Ba Dun ↑,
60', Xadas ↓, Wang Qiuming ↑,
72', Pedro Maranhao ↓, Abudulam A. ↑,
72', Zhong Yihao ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,
72', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
83', Yin Congyao 🟨,
84', Yan Bingliang 🟨,
84', Shinar Yeljan ↓, Yang Yilin ↑,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 13th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1.
Henan Jianye has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Henan Jianye for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Henan Jianye has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:24 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Henan Jianye against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).
China
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Cordoba A. 
Sun Ming-Him 
Xadas 
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