Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday


	Hendon		Horsham

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3)	3.75 ↑ (3.53)	1.7 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
21.8%

Draw
24.4%

Horsham
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

25.8%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

24.5%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hendon's form might have worsened.

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Horsham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hendon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Horsham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hendon - Horsham Predictions

Users Predictions: Horsham will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Dickson C. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Meekums R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 3, Dickson C. ⚽,
65', 0 - 4, Philpott I. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Hendon has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Horsham in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Horsham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Horsham will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Horsham to win the game is with odds 2.07.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.01.25	Hendon - Dover Athletic	0:3 ✺
28.12.24	Cray Wanderers - Hendon	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Hendon - Potters Bar Town	0:4 ✺
21.12.24	Chichester City - Hendon	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Hendon - Canvey Island	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.01.25	Horsham - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	3:0 ✺
01.01.25	Dover Athletic - Horsham	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Potters Bar Town - Horsham	0:6 ✺
26.12.24	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW

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