Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Hendon		Truro City

	1	X	2
	4.6	4	1.53
	4.5	4	1.57
	4.52	4.19	1.62
	4.75	4	1.58
	4.75	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (6.2)	4.08 ↓ (5)	1.57 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
19.7%

Draw
22.3%

Truro City
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

17.6%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hendon's performance.

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Truro City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hendon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Truro City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hendon - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hendon won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Truro is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hendon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Hendon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Southern League South Division
02.01.23	Metropolitan Police - Hendon	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Hendon - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Salisbury - Hendon	3:3 ✺
26.11.22	Hendon - Bracknell Town	3:4 ✺
19.11.22	North Leigh - Hendon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTLW
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
02.01.23	Truro City - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
26.12.22	Plymouth Parkway - Truro City	3:3 ✺
17.12.22	Dorchester Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
07.12.22	Truro City - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Truro City - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
27.08.22	Truro City - Hendon	4:1
15.01.22	Hendon - Truro City	0:2
14.08.21	Truro City - Hendon	0:4
26.09.20	Hendon - Truro City	0:4
29.02.20	Hendon - Truro City	1:4
19.10.19	Truro City - Hendon	2:1

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