Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday


	Truro City		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.49	4	5.25
	1.5	4.1	5
	1.52	4.35	5.5
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.48	4.25	5.5
	1.5	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	4.18 ↓ (4.2)	5.29 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
61.1%

Draw
21.7%

Tiverton Town
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

20%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Tiverton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Tiverton Town aligns with the current prediction.

Truro City - Tiverton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Tiverton have a series of home games.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Truro won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
26.12.22	Plymouth Parkway - Truro City	3:3 ✺
17.12.22	Dorchester Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
07.12.22	Truro City - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Truro City - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Chesham United - Truro City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTWL
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
26.12.22	Tiverton Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:2 ✺
07.12.22	Tiverton Town - North Leigh	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Tiverton Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
29.08.22	Tiverton Town - Truro City	1:1
12.02.22	Tiverton Town - Truro City	2:1
01.02.22	Truro City - Tiverton Town	2:0
26.12.19	Truro City - Tiverton Town	3:3
English FA Trophy
19.10.13	Tiverton Town - Truro City	3:2

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