The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Willem II 29.7%
Draw 24.6%
Sparta Rotterdam 45.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.8%
25.2%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
23.7%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 31.2% โ 83%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 25%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Didillon T. (C) 2. Ciranni A. 30. Behounek R. 3. Stam F. 24. Tjoe a On N. 18. Zarrouk A. 6. Besselink G. 19. van Aalst U. 7. Doodeman N. 9. Haen D. 17. Bamba S.
1. Bednarek F. (G) 2. Sambo S. 3. Young M. 4. Quintero T. 5. Kleijn M. 8. Toornstra J. 6. Clement P. (C) 7. Oufkir A. 10. Duijvestijn L. 11. Mito S. 9. Thorisson N.
Substitutes
47. Baartmans S. 8. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 20. El Allouchi M. 4. Hoogma J. 11. Kehrer E. 41. Kotte T. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 48. Poortvliet J. 22. van Loon P. 45. van Maarschalkerwaard P.
16. Baas J. 18. de Guzman J. 20. Drommel J. (G) 21. Kitolano J. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 19. Lauritsen T. 22. Ltaief S. 12. Martes L. 14. Martins Indi B. 17. Santos A. 15. van Aanholt P. 13. Velthuis T.
Coaches
Stegeman J.
Steijn M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Mito S. ⚽, Quintero T. (A),
23', Ciranni A. 🟨,
34', Clement P. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Mito S. ⚽, Thorisson N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Doodeman N. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
46', Ciranni A. ↓, Mathijsen J. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Behounek R. ⚽, Culum A. (A),
51', Haen D. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
57', 1 - 3, Thorisson N. ⚽, Mito S. (A),
67', Sambo S. ↓, Martes L. ↑,
67', Kleijn M. ↓, Martins Indi B. ↑,
72', Zarrouk A. ↓, El Allouchi M. ↑,
74', Mito S. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
74', Oufkir A. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
77', Stam F. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
78', El Allouchi M. (Penalty Awarded),
80', 1 - 4, Duijvestijn L. ⚽, Martes L. (A),
81', Thorisson N. ↓, Lauritsen T. ↑,
88', 1 - 5, Lauritsen T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 1.
Recent performances by Willem II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sparta Rotterdam is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Sparta Rotterdam could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.5:2.1).
Netherlands
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Didillon T. (C) 
Ciranni A. 
Behounek R. 
Stam F. 
Tjoe a On N. 
Bamba S. 
Bednarek F. (G) 
Sambo S. 
Quintero T. 
Mito S. 
Thorisson N. 
Culum A. 
Kitolano J. 
Ltaief S. 
