Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Asito Stadium (Almelo)

Referee: Blank E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Heracles Almelo		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	8	6.5	1.29	Watch
	7.75	6	1.32
	9.3	5.9	1.29
	8.63	6.62	1.3
	8.43	6.53	1.28	Watch
	7.5	5.75	1.29
	8.25	6.71	1.32	Watch
	8.8	6.2	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.33 ↓ (8.73)	6.28 ↑ (5.68)	1.3 ↑ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
11.4%

Draw
15.2%

PSV Eindhoven
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

16.4%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - PSV (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PSV Eindhoven will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pasveer R. (G) 3. Wieckhoff J. 23. te Wierik M. (C) 18. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 24. Mesik I. 20. Bozinovski R. 13. Zamburek J. 14. Ahlstrand E. 70. Hrustic A. 9. Unuvar N. 25. Zeefuik L.	32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 22. Schouten J. (C) 4. Obispo A. 17. Mauro Junior 10. Wanner P. 23. Veerman J. 27. Man D. 34. Saibari I. 5. Perisic I. 21. Boadu M.
Substitutes
2. Benita M. 10. Bruns T. 6. Cestic S. 16. Jansink T. (G) 19. Kulenovic L. 7. Limbombe B. 30. Mantel R. (G) 73. Ould Chikh W. 32. Scheperman S. 5. van der Kust D. 17. van Gilst T.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 11. Driouech C. 31. Fernandez N. 6. Flamingo R. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 9. Pepi R. 24. Schiks N. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 51. Smolenaars T. (G)
Coaches
Faber E.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Perisic I. (Penalty Awarded),
12', 0 - 2, Saibari I. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Man D. ⚽, Veerman J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Obispo A. ↓, Gasiorowski Y. ↑,
46', Boadu M. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
62', Wanner P. 🟨,
62', Bozinovski R. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
62', Hrustic A. ↓, Ould Chikh W. ↑,
63', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
64', Van Hoorenbeeck A. 🟨,
72', Mauro Junior ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,
73', Zamburek J. ↓, Scheperman S. ↑,
73', Unuvar N. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Zeefuik L. ⚽, Ahlstrand E. (A),
84', Saibari I. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
85', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
90', Benita M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 0.

Recent form of Heracles has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

PSV is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Heracles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSV is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:52. (average 0.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.8:2.6).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Heracles: 35.06%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	PSV	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie
22.02.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Heracles Almelo	4:1 ✺
01.02.26	Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Feyenoord - Heracles Almelo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
21.02.26	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Volendam - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Groningen - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.02.26	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.26	PSV Eindhoven - Feyenoord	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.25	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	4:3
14.05.25	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	4:1
18.08.24	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	1:3
16.02.24	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	2:0
Club Friendly
07.01.24	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	1:1
Dutch Eredivisie
04.11.23	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	0:6
06.03.22	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	3:1

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