Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 7

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	6.5
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.38	4.75	7
	1.39	4.75	7.3
	1.39	4.72	7.4	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7.5
	1.37	4.7	7.27
	1.38	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)	4.64 ↑ (4.03)	7 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
66.9%

Draw
19.9%

Needham Market
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.9%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hereford's performance.

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hereford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hereford - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, McGrath J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Hereford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Needham is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hereford is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
31.08.24	Brackley Town - Hereford	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Hereford - Radcliffe	3:3 ✺
24.08.24	Southport - Hereford	1:4 ✺
20.08.24	Hereford - Peterborough Sports	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Chorley - Hereford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTT
- Needham Market
English National League North
31.08.24	Warrington Town - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Needham Market - Alfreton Town	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Radcliffe - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
20.08.24	Needham Market - Scunthorpe United	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Needham Market - Southport	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLL

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