Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Hereford		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	1.98
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.17	3.43	2.03
	3.2	3.4	1.95
	3.38	3.36	2.06	Watch
	3.3	3.35	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.26)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	2.02 (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
27.8%

Draw
27.1%

Rochdale
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

26.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

25.6%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Hereford - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Hereford is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rochdale will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
07.10.23	South Shields - Hereford	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Hereford - Cambridge City	3:0 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Hereford - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Spennymoor Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
05.09.23	Chester - Hereford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWWLW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
07.10.23	Maidenhead United - Rochdale	2:2 ✺
03.10.23	Solihull Moors - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Rochdale - Southend United	2:2 ✺
26.09.23	Rochdale - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLW

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