Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Rochdale		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.3	3.75	2	Watch
	3.54	3.76	2.01
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.4	3.64	1.95
	3.1	3.65	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.14)	3.58 ↓ (3.75)	2 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
28%

Draw
25.8%

Chesterfield
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

24.4%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

23.8%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	6.2%	68.7%

Rochdale - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moulden L. (G) 8. Clayton A. 4. East R. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 20. Gilmour H. 3. John C. 9. Mitchell K. 15. Nevett G. 16. Oduroh K. 7. Sinclair T. 11. Uchegbulam J.	1. Tyrer H. (G) 11. Colclough R. 17. Dobra A. 16. Freckleton M. 5. Grimes J. (C) 10. Jacobs M. 35. Jones M. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 27. Quigley J. 12. Williams T.
Substitutes
21. Conway M. 24. Ferguson K. 40. Henderson I. 13. Keohane J. 5. Taylor M.	28. Banks O. 18. Berry-McNally J. 9. Grigg W. 20. King J. 21. Palmer A.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 3.

Recent matches Rochdale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chesterfield is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Chesterfield will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
23.09.23	Dorking Wanderers - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Boreham Wood - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Rochdale - Barnet	4:2 ✺
09.09.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Rochdale - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWTL
- Chesterfield
English National League
23.09.23	Chesterfield - Wealdstone	3:2 ✺
19.09.23	Chesterfield - Halifax Town	3:2 ✺
16.09.23	Ebbsfleet United - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Chesterfield - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Aldershot Town - Chesterfield	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
07.11.20	Rochdale - Chesterfield	Canceled
English League One
25.03.17	Chesterfield - Rochdale	1:3
26.12.16	Rochdale - Chesterfield	3:0
English EFL Trophy
06.12.16	Rochdale - Chesterfield	0:2
English League Cup
09.08.16	Rochdale - Chesterfield	3:1
English League One
09.01.16	Rochdale - Chesterfield	2:3
English EFL Trophy
06.10.15	Rochdale - Chesterfield	2:1

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