Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Rochdale		Southend United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.15	3.35	3.1
	2.15	3.52	3.32
	2.21	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.07	3.3	3.19
	2.1	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.38)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	3.17 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rochdale
43.4%

Draw
27.4%

Southend United
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Rochdale - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Southend will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Southend (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Southend (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Rochdale (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Southend (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Broome N. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 33. Beckwith S. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 37. Galvin R. 7. Allarakhia T. 21. McBride C. 9. Dieseruvwe E.	30. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 16. Taylor H. 6. Goodliffe B. 3. Ralph N. (C) 17. Miley C. 2. Scott-Morriss G. 33. Boyes H. 28. Coker O. 10. Austin S. 21. Cardwell H. 18. Spasov S.
Substitutes
12. Amantchi L. 18. Barlow A. 19. Burger J. 11. Mancini A. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 17. Pritchard J.	19. Chambers-Parillon L. 15. Gubbins J. 1. Hayes N. (G) 14. Hopper T. 24. Kendall C. 23. Morton 11. Walker J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Scott-Morriss G. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Gordon K. ⚽, Adebayo-Rowling T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Henderson I. ↓, Dieseruvwe E. ↑,
56', Spasov S. ↓, Hopper T. ↑,
57', Chambers-Parillon L. ↓, Appiah-Forson K. ↑,
72', Rodney D. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
72', Moss D. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
72', Gubbins J. ↓, Goodliffe B. ↑,
73', Dallas A. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
83', Austin S. ↓, Bridge J. ↑,
88', Burger J. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Gilmour H. ⚽, Pritchard J. (A),
90+6', Gordon K. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 1.

Rochdale has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Southend has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Southend may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).

Outrights of English National League for now

Southend: 11.36%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Southend	12	7	3	2	29:18	11	24

Last Results with these Odds

Southend United - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.32%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English National League
24.01.26	Rochdale - Truro City	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Solihull Moors - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Gateshead - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Tamworth - Rochdale	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League
30.12.25	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- Southend United
English National League
24.01.26	Boston United - Southend United	3:3 ✺
20.01.26	Southend United - Eastleigh	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	York City - Southend United	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.26	Bath City - Southend United	1:3 ✺
English National League
30.12.25	Southend United - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.05.25	Rochdale - Southend United	3:4 ET
15.02.25	Southend United - Rochdale	1:1
19.10.24	Rochdale - Southend United	0:1
20.04.24	Southend United - Rochdale	1:2
30.09.23	Rochdale - Southend United	2:2
English League One
31.08.19	Southend United - Rochdale	0:3
27.04.19	Rochdale - Southend United	1:0

Upcoming Matches