Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 7 March 2023, Tuesday


	Herne Bay		Horsham

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.8	1.7
	3.8	3.98	1.79
	4	3.6	1.7
	3.98	3.8	1.75
	4.2	3.75	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.86)	3.79 ↑ (3.74)	1.72 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herne Bay
23.1%

Draw
24.1%

Horsham
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

24.3%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

23.6%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herne Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Horsham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Herne Bay - Horsham Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Herne Bay will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Horsham will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Herne Bay is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Horsham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Horsham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Horsham is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Herne Bay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.03.23	Billericay Town - Herne Bay	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Bishops Stortford - Herne Bay	3:0 ✺
25.02.23	Herne Bay - Aveley	1:2 ✺
22.02.23	Kingstonian - Herne Bay	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Hornchurch - Herne Bay	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL
- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.03.23	Horsham - Haringey Borough	3:3 ✺
28.02.23	Brightlingsea Regent - Horsham	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Bishops Stortford - Horsham	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Lewes - Horsham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.11.22	Horsham - Herne Bay	4:1
English FA Cup
16.09.17	Horsham - Herne Bay	2:5

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