Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Hertha Berlin		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.45	2.98
	2.08	3.58	3.23	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.58	3.2	Watch
	2.08	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.73)	3.5 ↓ (3.68)	3.14 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
44.2%

Draw
26.4%

Standard Liège
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hertha Berlin's form might have worsened.

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Standard Liège's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hertha Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Standard Liège, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hertha Berlin - Standard Liège Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernst T. (G) 10. Cuisance M. 23. Eichhorn K. 2. Eitschberger J. 44. Gechter L. 33. Karbownik M. 41. Klemens P. 11. Reese F. (C) 18. Schuler L. 30. Seguin P. 22. Winkler M.	1. Epolo M. (C) 5. Bolingoli B. 29. Dierckx D. 10. Eckert Ayensa D. 27. El Hankouri M. 25. Hautekiet I. 9. Henry T. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 18. Lawrence H. 94. Nielsen C. 17. Said R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Cuisance M. ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Ilaimaharitra M. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Nielsen C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 2 - 2, Dudziak J. ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, Kuavita L. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Standard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hertha is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hertha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Standard Liège - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 22.82%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Kaiserslautern	6:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLWW
- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.25	Standard Liège - Sint-Truidense	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Dender EH - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
02.12.25	Dender EH - Standard Liège	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.07.23	Standard Liège - Hertha Berlin	1:1

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