Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ballweg C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	15:00	Fast Sports
Australia	22:00	beIN Connect
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	14:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	08:00	Disney+
Colombia	06:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	13:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Viaplay
France	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	13:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 7, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hong Kong	19:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	13:00	Arena 4
Iceland	11:00	Viaplay
Israel	14:00	Sport 4
Kosovo	13:00	Arena Premium 3
Laos	18:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	13:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	00:00	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	13:00	Arena Premium 3
Norway	13:00	Viaplay
Peru	06:00	Disney+
Philippines	19:00	beIN Connect
Poland	13:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	12:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	14:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Saudi Arabia	14:00	MBC Shahid
Serbia	13:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	19:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	13:00	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	13:00	Sport TV1
Spain	13:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 7, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	18:00	beIN Connect
Uruguay	08:00	Disney+
Venezuela	07:00	Disney+
International	11:00	OneFootball TV


	Hertha Berlin		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.80	3.90	Watch
	1.87	3.80	3.90
	1.74	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.87	3.95	4.18
	1.81	4.01	4	Watch
	1.85	3.90	4.15
	1.84	3.88	3.98	Watch
	1.82	3.90	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	3.9 ↑ (3.82)	4.03 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
52.1%

Draw
24.4%

Arminia Bielefeld
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

23.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Hertha Berlin (1.80) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Hertha Berlin will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Gersbeck M. (C) 42. Zeefuik D. 44. Gechter L. 27. Kolbe N. 22. Pedersen M. 30. Seguin P. 8. Sessa K. 19. Adewumi O. 23. Thorsteinsson J. 7. Brekalo J. 17. Gronning S.	1. Kersken J. (G) 2. Hagmann F. 19. Grosser M. 5. Bauer M. (C) 3. Felix J. 17. Sicker A. 31. Jensen L. 21. Russo S. 38. Worl M. 14. Momuluh M. 11. Grodowski J.
Substitutes
20. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 2. Eitschberger J. 43. Goller T. (G) 33. Gouram S. 34. Grothe M. 41. Klemens P. 28. Ndi J. 18. Schuler L. 47. Telib S.	27. Boakye B. 29. Handwerker T. 7. Koudossou H. 6. Mehlem M. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 10. Rochelt J. 23. Schneider L. 8. Schreck S. 30. Young I.
Coaches
Leitl S.	Kirch O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Kersken J. 🟨,
41', Felix J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Zeefuik D. ↓, Eitschberger J. ↑,
63', Adewumi O. ↓, Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↑,
63', Gronning S. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
76', Jensen L. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
76', Worl M. ↓, Rochelt J. ↑,
77', Seguin P. 🟨,
80', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Gouram S. ↑,
81', Momuluh M. ↓, Koudossou H. ↑,
81', Felix J. ↓, Schneider L. ↑,
87', Sessa K. ↓, Telib S. ↑,
88', Grodowski J. ↓, Handwerker T. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Brekalo J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Bundesliga and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 1.

Hertha is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Arminia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hertha could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Hertha has faced a series of away games on the road.

Hertha carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Hertha: Dardai M. (Groin Injury) Mamuzah Lum B. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Arminia: Min D. (Hamstring Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Hertha: Nilsson G. (Inactive).

Our forecast points to a victory for Hertha in today's match, at odds of 1.8.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Hertha has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:11 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hertha against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 1.8:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	9	8	1	0	20:8	12	25
9	Arminia Bielefeld	9	3	2	4	13:14	-1	11

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hertha Berlin: 37.98% Arminia Bielefeld: 0.68%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
16.10.26	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Augsburg - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Dynamo Dresden - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Osnabrück - Hertha Berlin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWTWW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
17.05.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Hertha Berlin	6:1
19.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
German Bundesliga
30.04.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Hertha Berlin	1:1
11.12.21	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0
09.05.21	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0
10.01.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Hertha Berlin	1:0
Club Friendly
09.01.19	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1

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