Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Hertha Berlin		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.35	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.39	4.1
	1.98	3.45	3.9	Watch
	2	3.3	3.4
	1.97	3.32	4.13	Watch
	1.92	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.03)	3.34 ↓ (3.56)	3.9 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
47.6%

Draw
28.2%

Arminia Bielefeld
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	17.1%	8.6%

Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 58.7% – 88.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 7 - 70%). Arminia (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Arminia (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Arminia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Arminia (2.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 7 - 50%). Arminia (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernst T. (G) 44. Gechter L. 37. Leistner T. 27. Kolbe N. 33. Karbownik M. 6. Demme D. 30. Seguin P. 22. Winkler M. 10. Cuisance M. 11. Reese F. 18. Schuler L.	1. Kersken J. (G) 19. Grosser M. 23. Schneider L. 3. Felix J. 29. Handwerker T. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 2. Hagmann F. 14. Momuluh T. 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 38. Worl M.
Substitutes
35. Gersbeck M. (G) 17. Gronning S. 41. Klemens P. 9. Kownacki D. 21. Mamuzah Lum B. 8. Sessa K. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D. 42. Zeefuik D.	27. Boakye B. 7. Kania J. 24. Lannert C. 10. Mehlem M. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 8. Schreck S. 44. Yasar E. 30. Young I.
Coaches
Leitl S.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Kolbe N. ↓, Zeefuik D. ↑,
18', Demme D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sarenren Bazee N. ↓, Young I. ↑,
64', Schuler L. ↓, Kownacki D. ↑,
65', Handwerker T. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Seguin P. ⚽, Winkler M. (A),
75', Momuluh T. 🟨,
79', Worl M. 🟨,
82', Reese F. 🟨,
83', Worl M. ↓, Mehlem M. ↑,
83', Momuluh T. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
85', Leistner T. 🟥,
87', Schneider L. ↓, Yasar E. ↑,
88', Demme D. ↓, Klemens P. ↑,
90', Winkler M. 🟨,
90+3', Leitl S. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Russo S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 2.

Hertha is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arminia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hertha is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Jensen L. (Injury)

There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
12.12.25	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Hertha Berlin - Kaiserslautern	6:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Hertha Berlin - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWWW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Preußen Münster	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
30.04.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Hertha Berlin	1:1
11.12.21	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0
09.05.21	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0
10.01.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Hertha Berlin	1:0
Club Friendly
09.01.19	Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1
German DFB Pokal
10.08.15	Arminia Bielefeld - Hertha Berlin	0:2
28.10.14	Arminia Bielefeld - Hertha Berlin	1:0 penalties

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