Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE CUP - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Easter Road (Edinburgh)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)


	Hibernian		Raith Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.57	4	4.5
	1.53	3.95	4.9
	1.6	4.08	5.12
	1.35	4.33	6.5
	1.6	4.2	5.15
	1.58	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)	4.05 ↓ (4.27)	5.17 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hibernian
59.6%

Draw
22.6%

Raith Rovers
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

20.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Hibernian - Raith Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marshall D. (G) 42. Megwa K. 26. Harbottle R. 4. Hanlon P. (C) 21. Obita J. 10. Boyle M. 14. Jeggo J. 32. Campbell J. 7. Youan T. 19. Le Fondre A. 23. Doidge C.	1. Dabrowski M. (G) 4. Millen R. 5. Watson K. 6. Murray E. 3. Dick L. 14. Mullin J. 20. Brown S. (C) 16. Stanton S. 21. Byrne S. 11. Smith C. 10. Vaughan L.
Substitutes
35. Allan-Molotnikov R. 25. Boruc M. (G) 28. Delferriere A. 5. Fish W. 18. Henderson E. 2. Miller L. 11. Newell J. 16. Stevenson L. 9. Vente D.	25. Arnott A. 9. Gullan J. 19. Hamilton J. 30. Masson A. 24. McGill S. 26. Mitchell K. 22. Ross E. 17. Thomson R. (G)
Coaches
Johnson L.	Murray I.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hibernian won 4.

Recent matches Hibernian is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raith in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hibernian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hibernian is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hibernian won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Hibernian won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hibernian FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Luzern - Hibernian	2:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
13.08.23	Motherwell - Hibernian	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Hibernian - Luzern	3:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
06.08.23	Hibernian - St. Mirren	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Hibernian - Inter Escaldes	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLW
- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
12.08.23	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	3:2 ✺
05.08.23	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	2:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
29.07.23	Annan Athletic - Raith Rovers	2:3 ✺
26.07.23	Kilmarnock - Raith Rovers	2:3 penalties ✺
18.07.23	Raith Rovers - Albion Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.12.22	Hibernian - Raith Rovers	1:0
16.07.21	Raith Rovers - Hibernian	1:3
Scottish Cup
09.02.19	Hibernian - Raith Rovers	3:1
Scottish Football Championship
26.04.17	Hibernian - Raith Rovers	3:2
18.02.17	Raith Rovers - Hibernian	1:1
24.12.16	Hibernian - Raith Rovers	1:1
15.10.16	Raith Rovers - Hibernian	0:0

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