Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Easter Road (Edinburgh)

Referee: Valikonis R. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Scotland	BBC Scotland
Switzerland	SRF


	Hibernian		Luzern

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.37
	2.65	3.3	2.4
	2.73	3.5	2.45
	2.77	3.47	2.53
	2.71	3.55	2.44	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.35)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	2.44 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hibernian
34.9%

Draw
26.9%

Luzern
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.9%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.9%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hibernian's form might have worsened.

Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luzern's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hibernian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luzern, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	21.4%	50%

Hibernian - Luzern Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hibernian will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Luzern will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luzern: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marshall D. (G) 2. Miller L. 5. Fish W. 4. Hanlon P. (C) 16. Stevenson L. 7. Youan T. 6. Levitt D. 11. Newell J. 10. Boyle M. 19. Le Fondre A. 9. Vente D.	1. Loretz P. (G) 20. Dorn P. 30. Beka I. 46. Burch M. 13. Frydek M. 18. Beloko N. 10. Spadanuda K. 7. Meyer M. (C) 6. Jashari A. 11. Okou T. 99. Ademi K.
Substitutes
25. Boruc M. (G) 33. Bushiri R. 32. Campbell J. 28. Delferriere A. 23. Doidge C. 8. Doyle-Hayes J. 26. Harbottle R. 18. Henderson E. 14. Jeggo J. 40. McAllister R. 20. Melkersen E. 21. Obita J.	21. Abubakar A. 69. Chader S. 44. Heller D. (G) 4. Jaquez L. 16. Kadak J. 33. Meyer L. 2. Ottiger S. 8. Rupp N. 5. Simani D. 22. Ulrich D. 90. Vasic V. (G) 27. Villiger L.
Coaches
Johnson L.	Frick M.

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
06.08.23	Hibernian - St. Mirren	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Hibernian - Inter Escaldes	6:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Blackpool - Hibernian	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Inter Escaldes - Hibernian	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Hibernian - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLW
- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
06.08.23	St. Gallen - Luzern	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Luzern - Djurgården	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
30.07.23	Luzern - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Djurgården - Luzern	1:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
22.07.23	Winterthur - Luzern	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWWT

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