Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Swissporarena (Luzern)

Referee: Diamantopoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	SRF


	Luzern		Hibernian

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	4.33	Watch
	1.51	4.4	4.8	Watch
	1.55	4.5	5.1
	1.53	4.5	5
	1.56	4.46	5.21
	1.55	4.4	5.35	Watch
	1.55	4.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.76)	4.49 ↑ (3.72)	5 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luzern
60.6%

Draw
20.8%

Hibernian
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24.9%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.8%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luzern's performance.

Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luzern that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Luzern - Hibernian Predictions

Users Predictions: Luzern will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.04% – 98.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Loretz P. (G) 2. Ottiger S. 46. Burch M. 30. Beka I. 13. Frydek M. 6. Jashari A. 20. Dorn P. 7. Meyer M. (C) 18. Beloko N. 16. Kadak J. 27. Villiger L.	1. Marshall D. (G) 2. Miller L. 5. Fish W. 4. Hanlon P. (C) 16. Stevenson L. 32. Campbell J. 6. Levitt D. 11. Newell J. 10. Boyle M. 9. Vente D. 7. Youan T.
Substitutes
21. Abubakar A. 99. Ademi K. 69. Chader S. 44. Heller D. (G) 4. Jaquez L. 33. Meyer L. 11. Okou T. 41. Rupp N. 5. Simani D. 10. Spadanuda K. 22. Ulrich D. 90. Vasic V. (G)	35. Allan-Molotnikov R. 25. Boruc M. (G) 33. Bushiri R. 28. Delferriere A. 23. Doidge C. 26. Harbottle R. 18. Henderson E. 14. Jeggo J. 31. Johnson M. (G) 19. Le Fondre A. 40. McAllister R. 21. Obita J.
Coaches
Frick M.	Johnson L.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Luzern is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Luzern won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
13.08.23	Luzern - Young Boys	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Hibernian - Luzern	3:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
06.08.23	St. Gallen - Luzern	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Luzern - Djurgården	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
30.07.23	Luzern - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTW
- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
13.08.23	Motherwell - Hibernian	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Hibernian - Luzern	3:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
06.08.23	Hibernian - St. Mirren	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Hibernian - Inter Escaldes	6:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Blackpool - Hibernian	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Hibernian - Luzern	3:1

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