Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.25
	2.6	3.5	2.35
	2.63	3.69	2.38
	2.63	3.69	2.38
	2.62	3.5	2.2
	2.63	3.34	2.38
	2.6	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.43)	3.52 ↓ (3.55)	2.33 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
34.9%

Draw
25.9%

Mickleover Sports
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Mickleover Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Hitchin Town - Mickleover Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Hitchin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mickleover is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mickleover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
16.12.23	St Ives Town - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
11.12.23	Hitchin Town - Leiston	1:4 ✺
02.12.23	Hitchin Town - Leamington	1:2 ✺
28.11.23	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	AFC Telford United - Hitchin Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWT
- Mickleover Sports
English Southern League Central Division
19.12.23	Stamford - Mickleover Sports	4:0 ✺
16.12.23	Mickleover Sports - Leamington	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Oldham Athletic - Mickleover Sports	4:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
02.12.23	Halesowen Town - Mickleover Sports	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Mickleover Sports - Nuneaton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.08.23	Mickleover Sports - Hitchin Town	2:1
14.01.23	Mickleover Sports - Hitchin Town	1:2
26.11.22	Hitchin Town - Mickleover Sports	4:1

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