Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	St Ives Town		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	3.7
	1.71	3.95	3.8
	1.74	4.58	3.4
	1.78	4.42	3.61
	1.71	3.85	3.94
	1.71	3.95	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.94)	4.11 ↑ (3.58)	3.71 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Ives Town
53.1%

Draw
22.3%

Hitchin Town
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

26.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Ives Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Ives Town's performance.

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Ives Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

St Ives Town - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Glennon W. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Glennon W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 2 - 1, Snee H. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Glennon W. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Ives won 1.

St Ives is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hitchin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St Ives will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches St Ives won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:29 (average 1.1:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams St Ives won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:14 (average 1.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
23.11.24	AFC Telford United - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Bedford Town - St Ives Town	0:3 ✺
02.11.24	St Ives Town - Redditch United	0:3 ✺
26.10.24	Sudbury Town - St Ives Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLT
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
23.11.24	Hitchin Town - Stratford Town	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Hitchin Town - Harborough Town	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Banbury United - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Hitchin Town - Lowestoft Town	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
16.12.23	St Ives Town - Hitchin Town	1:2
19.08.23	Hitchin Town - St Ives Town	3:2
04.02.23	St Ives Town - Hitchin Town	3:2
26.09.22	Hitchin Town - St Ives Town	1:1
15.01.22	Hitchin Town - St Ives Town	4:0
19.10.21	St Ives Town - Hitchin Town	1:0
02.11.19	St Ives Town - Hitchin Town	0:3

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