Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 35

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.7	1.57
	5.15	3.83	1.61
	5.1	3.95	1.57
	4.75	3.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↑ (4.06)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)	1.59 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
18.5%

Draw
24%

Tamworth
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

23.9%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.5%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Hitchin Town - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 0.

Recent matches Hitchin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tamworth is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hitchin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tamworth is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
25.02.23	Leiston - Hitchin Town	0:0 ✺
20.02.23	Hitchin Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Hitchin Town - Nuneaton Town	1:1 ✺
14.02.23	Coalville Town - Hitchin Town	5:1 ✺
11.02.23	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTLT
- Tamworth
English Southern League Central Division
25.02.23	Tamworth - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Barwell - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Kings Langley - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Tamworth - Stourbridge	0:3 ✺
04.02.23	Tamworth - Mickleover Sports	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
22.10.22	Tamworth - Hitchin Town	2:1
28.02.22	Hitchin Town - Tamworth	1:1
26.10.21	Tamworth - Hitchin Town	0:0
01.02.20	Tamworth - Hitchin Town	1:0
31.08.19	Hitchin Town - Tamworth	0:3
06.03.19	Hitchin Town - Tamworth	1:0
03.11.18	Tamworth - Hitchin Town	2:0

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