Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bochum		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.33	Watch
	2.1	3.75	3.2
	1.8	3.75	3.9	Watch
	1.84	4.1	4.23
	1.86	3.95	3.82	Watch
	1.8	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.81	3.85	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.98)	3.85 ↑ (3.63)	3.88 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
51.1%

Draw
24.6%

Holstein Kiel
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

25.7%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

25.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

Bochum - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: Bochum will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bochum will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 13. Olsen O. 4. Masovic E. 3. Strompf P. 32. Wittek M. 24. Pannewig M. 19. Bero M. (C) 23. Miyoshi K. 16. Marshall C. 17. Holtmann G. 33. Hofmann P.	1. Weiner T. (G) 23. Rosenboom L. 6. Ivezic M. 13. Nekic I. 3. Komenda M. 28. Meffert J. 15. Davidsen K. 20. Kapralik A. 7. Skrzybski S. (C) 10. Therkelsen J. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 11. Kwarteng M. 34. Lenz C. 20. Loosli N. 39. Morgalla L. 21. Onyeka F. 18. Rakneberg M. 22. Thiede N. (G) 8. Watjen K.	43. Borges L. 18. Jakupovic A. 21. Krumrey J. (G) 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 40. Parduzi L. 2. Roslyng F. 8. Tohumcu U. 49. Ugoh I.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Davidsen K. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Hofmann P. ⚽,
20', Komenda M. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
35', Roslyng F. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Harres P. ⚽, Kapralik A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Bero M. 🟨,
58', Bero M. 🟨,
59', Holtmann G. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
59', Marshall C. ↓, Onyeka F. ↑,
59', Skrzybski S. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
65', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Hofmann P. ⚽, Wittek M. (A),
70', 2 - 3, Therkelsen J. ⚽, Meffert J. (A),
71', Masovic E. ↓, Morgalla L. ↑,
71', Pannewig M. ↓, Lenz C. ↑,
73', Davidsen K. 🟨,
74', Wittek M. 🟨,
77', Miyoshi K. ↓, Watjen K. ↑,
82', Rosenboom L. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
85', Thiede N. 🟨,
89', Weiner T. 🟨,
90+9', Tohumcu U. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.

In recent matches, Bochum has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Holstein Kiel has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bochum is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Holtmann G. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Kelati A. (Inactive) Schwab S. (Yellow Cards) Zec D. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Bochum: 1.14% Holstein Kiel: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bochum	6	2	1	3	5:6	-1	7
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
14.03.26	Hertha Berlin - Bochum	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Bochum - Kaiserslautern	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Bochum	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Bochum - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Bochum - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLTT
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
14.03.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	1:1
German Bundesliga
09.02.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	2:2
21.09.24	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:2
German 2 Bundesliga
03.04.21	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:1
04.12.20	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	3:1
27.05.20	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:1
25.10.19	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	2:1

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