Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Holstein Kiel		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.1	Watch
	1.80	3.90	4.10
	1.72	3.75	4	Watch
	1.82	4.07	4.3
	1.78	4.04	4.13	Watch
	1.8	4	4.25
	1.77	3.9	4.03	Watch
	1.76	3.9	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)	3.93 ↑ (3.77)	4.13 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
53.2%

Draw
24%

Osnabrück
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

24.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Osnabrück will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (C) 32. Sekine H. 5. Madsen N. 26. Zec D. 40. Parduzi L. 28. Meffert J. 11. de Regt G. 8. Balzi G. 15. Davidsen K. 20. Kapralik A. 19. Harres P.	32. Krumrey J. (G) 27. Fabinski R. 24. Muller J. (C) 25. Wiemann N. 31. Kammerbauer P. 15. Jacobsen B. 26. Wagner F. 42. Jogo 21. Beck A. 11. Meissner R. 22. Riesselmann B.
Substitutes
9. Kvilitaia G. 13. Nekic I. 44. Richter Monserrat M. 41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 7. Skrzybski S. 30. Tasdelen T. 47. Tolkin J. 27. Ugoh I. 43. Wiese T.	4. Abu Hanna J. 28. Faber K. 20. Janotta T. 7. Kyereh D. 23. Lesueur T. 8. Munst L. 19. Opitz L. 17. Raimund L. 1. Sauter N. (G)
Coaches
Walter T.	Schultz T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Fabinski R. 🟨,
9', Jogo 🟨,
10', Zec D. 🟨,
19', Wagner F. 🟨,
29', Sekine H. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Harres P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Wagner F. ↓, Kyereh D. ↑,
69', de Regt G. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
70', Madsen N. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Sekine H. (Own goal),
73', Riesselmann B. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
73', Kammerbauer P. ↓, Faber K. ↑,
75', Zec D. 🟨,
87', Jogo ↓, Abu Hanna J. ↑,
87', Meissner R. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,
89', Sekine H. ↓, Ugoh I. ↑,
89', Balzi G. ↓, Kvilitaia G. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th in the Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this matchup, Holstein Kiel is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Holstein Kiel: Abe T. (Back Injury) Alidou F. (Knee Injury) Muqaj H. (Knee Injury) Reimers M. (Ankle Injury) Rosenboom L. (Knee Injury) Roslyng F. (Knee Injury) Therkelsen J. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Osnabrück: Badjie I. (Knee Injury) Bakatukanda E. (Illness).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Holstein Kiel has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:29 (averaging 1.5:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Holstein Kiel against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 14:12 goals (averaging 1.8:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	VfL Osnabruck	7	2	2	3	10:13	-3	8
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Holstein Kiel: 0.82% VfL Osnabruck: 0.62%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
13.09.26	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	1860 München - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.08.26	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWT
- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
13.09.26	Osnabrück - Hertha Berlin	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Osnabrück - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.09.26	Osnabrück - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
28.08.26	Bochum - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.26	Spelle-Venhaus - Osnabrück	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
13.04.24	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	4:0
04.11.23	Osnabrück - Holstein Kiel	1:1
Club Friendly
07.01.23	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	5:3
German 2 Bundesliga
24.04.21	Osnabrück - Holstein Kiel	1:3
03.01.21	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	1:2
21.06.20	Osnabrück - Holstein Kiel	4:1
07.12.19	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	2:4

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