Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Borussia Dortmund		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.13	9.5	15	Watch
	1.09	14	19.5
	1.12	10	21	Watch
	1.13	10.5	18
	1.14	10.29	16.14	Watch
	1.1	12	17	Watch
	1.16	9.79	15.5	Watch
	1.12	10	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 (1.12)	10.76 ↑ (8.4)	17.89 ↑ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
85.7%

Draw
8.9%

Holstein Kiel
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.4%

11%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	9.1%	6.1%

Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 71% – 96.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4 - Borussia D (4.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 25. Sule N. 3. Anton W. 5. Bensebaini R. 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 10. Brandt J. (C) 27. Adeyemi K. 9. Guirassy S.	21. Dahne T. (G) 17. Becker T. (C) 5. Johansson C. 26. Zec D. 23. Rosenboom L. 10. Holtby L. 22. Remberg N. 47. Tolkin J. 11. Bernhardsson A. 18. Machino S. 7. Skrzybski S.
Substitutes
23. Can E. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 16. Duranville J. 43. Gittens J. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 7. Reyna G.	20. Arp J.-F. 14. Geschwill M. 19. Harres P. 6. Ivezic M. 24. Knudsen M. 9. Pichler B. 8. Porath F. 15. Schulz M. 1. Weiner T. (G)
Coaches
Kovac N.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. (Pen),
9', Johansson C. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Holtby L. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
46', Skrzybski S. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Sabitzer M. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
56', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
69', Machino S. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
71', Adeyemi K. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Nmecha F. ⚽, Svensson D. (A),
78', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
79', Sule N. ↓, Can E. ↑,
79', Nmecha F. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
85', Brandt J. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
85', Guirassy S. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
87', Gittens J. 🟨,
87', Remberg N. 🟨,
87', Becker T. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
90', Sabitzer M. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga

Borussia D is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Holstein Kiel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Borussia D is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Ankle Injury) Gross P. (Yellow Cards) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Gigovic A. (Yellow Cards) Kelati A. Y. (Thigh Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Komenda M. (Thigh Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Campbell C. (Injury) Jessen N. (Head Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
11.05.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	2:4 ✺
03.05.25	Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:3 ✺
20.04.25	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.04.25	Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW
- Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga
10.05.25	Holstein Kiel - Freiburg	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Augsburg - Holstein Kiel	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:3 ✺
19.04.25	RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
14.01.25	Holstein Kiel - Borussia Dortmund	4:2
German DFB Pokal
01.05.21	Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel	5:0

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