Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Honduras Progreso		Platense

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.2	3.8
	1.66	3.7	3.9
	1.69	3.98	3.68
	1.69	3.86	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)	3.94 ↑ (3.37)	3.93 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honduras Progreso
54.1%

Draw
22.9%

Platense
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

29.3%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honduras Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-1%)

Honduras Progreso - Platense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 0.

Recent matches Honduras Progreso is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Platense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Honduras Progreso will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 31 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 10 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 50-54.

Including matches at home between the teams Honduras Progreso won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28-31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.04.22	Honduras Progreso - Real España	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	Motagua - Honduras Progreso	3:2 ✺
13.04.22	Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Honduras Progreso - Vida	3:1 ✺
06.04.22	CD Marathón - Honduras Progreso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TLTWT
- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.04.22	Platense - Motagua	0:0 ✺
20.04.22	Platense - CD Marathón	1:0 ✺
13.04.22	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Platense	0:0 ✺
10.04.22	Platense - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0 ✺
06.04.22	Vida - Platense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
06.03.22	Platense - Honduras Progreso	0:0
02.10.21	Honduras Progreso - Platense	4:2
12.08.21	Platense - Honduras Progreso	1:1
21.03.21	Honduras Progreso - Platense	2:2
28.02.21	Platense - Honduras Progreso	0:4
31.10.20	Honduras Progreso - Platense	1:1
15.10.20	Platense - Honduras Progreso	0:0

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