Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 17

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ceibeño (La Ceiba)


	Victoria La Ceiba		Honduras Progreso

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.25
	2.54	3.44	2.11
	2.78	3.58	2.24
	2.7	3.3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.29)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	2.24 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria La Ceiba
33.7%

Draw
26.3%

Honduras Progreso
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

26.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Victoria La Ceiba's form might have worsened.

Honduras Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Honduras Progreso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Victoria La Ceiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Honduras Progreso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Victoria La Ceiba won 1.

Victoria La Ceiba is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Honduras Progreso is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Honduras Progreso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Victoria La Ceiba won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Victoria La Ceiba won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.04.23	Vida - Victoria La Ceiba	3:1 ✺
09.04.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Victoria La Ceiba	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Motagua - Victoria La Ceiba	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.04.23	Honduras Progreso - CD Marathón	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Honduras Progreso - Olancho	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Real España - Honduras Progreso	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Lobos UPNFM - Honduras Progreso	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
19.02.23	Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1
19.10.22	Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba	2:2
21.08.22	Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso	2:1
13.04.22	Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso	2:2
03.03.22	Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1
22.09.21	Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso	1:2
21.08.21	Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba	2:0

Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide