Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Excelsior (Puerto Cortes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Platense		Motagua

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.25	2.08
	3.2	3.2	2.16
	3.27	3.42	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	2.91	3.74	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.9)	3.34 ↑ (3.14)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
29.6%

Draw
27.5%

Motagua
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

27.7%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Platense - Motagua Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Motagua will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motagua: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motagua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flores B. (G) 22. Aguilar A. 26. Castellanos C. 3. Garcia E. 15. Padilla O. 25. Pozantes S. 23. Salinas M. 21. Santos B. 30. Solano E. 14. Urbina E. 12. Welcome G.	25. Licona M. (G) 19. De Olivera R. 10. Gomez R. 77. Mejia C. 56. Palma C. 17. Portillo J. 23. Reyes A. 34. Sacaza G. 26. Santamaria L. 12. Santos M. (C) 7. Serrano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Padilla O. 🟨,
41', Palma C. 🟨,
45+3', Solano E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mejia C. ↓, Romario ↑,
46', Castellanos C. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
46', Welcome G. ↓, Puerto E. ↑,
46', Gomez R. ↓, Melendez D. ↑,
46', Palma C. ↓, Discua O. ↑,
61', Aguilar A. ↓, Castillo Marin J. ↑,
67', De Olivera R. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
70', 0 - 1, John Kleber ⚽,
70', Urbina E. ↓, Castillo Y. ↑,
71', Santos B. 🟨,
74', John Kleber (Penalty Awarded),
79', Licona M. 🟨,
79', Solano E. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
81', Reyes A. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
87', Portillo J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1.

Recent form of Platense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Motagua is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Motagua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Motagua is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Platense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:40. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Motagua	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13
12	Platense	8	1	2	5	6:18	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.03.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Platense	2:3 ✺
12.03.26	Platense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Olancho - Platense	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Platense - Real España	2:2 ✺
26.02.26	Lobos UPNFM - Platense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLTL
- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
11.03.26	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Choloma - Motagua	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Motagua - Olancho	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Juticalpa - Motagua	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
29.01.26	Motagua - Platense	2:0
02.12.25	Motagua - Platense	0:4
17.09.25	Platense - Motagua	1:2
24.04.22	Platense - Motagua	0:0
27.02.22	Motagua - Platense	2:0
09.10.21	Platense - Motagua	2:3
08.08.21	Motagua - Platense	3:0

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