The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Platense 19.6%
Draw 24.7%
Motagua 55.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.5%
27.2%
51.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
26.3%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Platense - Motagua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bonilla M. (G) 13. Arzu M. 19. Canahuati G. 27. Garcia A. 3. Garcia E. 22. Gutierrez C. 16. Portillo A. 23. Salinas M. 21. Santos B. 30. Solano E. 14. Urbina E.
22. Ortiz L. (G) 19. De Olivera R. 24. Garcia J. 33. Izaguirre E. 36. Marinacci V. 35. Melendez C. 8. Melendez D. 9. Moya J. 17. Portillo J. 23. Reyes A. 34. Sacaza G.
Substitutes
26. Brooks J. 6. Castillo Marin J. 36. Cruz A. 29. Funes J. 57. Jasid Arzu Marin Y. 28. Loaiza M. (G) 24. Moncada M. 31. Norales A. 25. Rodriguez J. J. 40. Urbina Y. 12. Welcome G.
42. Argueta J. 28. Avila A. 14. Barrios A. 3. Cacho P. 26. Crisanto L. 10. Gomez R. 15. Hernandez A. 25. Licona M. (G) 30. Miranda J. 80. Oliva D. 4. Vega L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Marinacci V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Izaguirre E. ↓, Barrios A. ↑,
57', Batiz J. ↓, Oliva D. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Barrios A. ⚽,
65', De Olivera R. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
65', Melendez D. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
65', Arzu M. ↓, Welcome G. ↑,
66', Portillo A. ↓, Urbina Y. ↑,
69', Marinacci V. ↓, Cacho P. ↑,
77', Garcia A. ↓, Castillo Marin J. ↑,
77', Gutierrez C. ↓, Brooks J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Miranda J. ⚽,
81', Canahuati G. ↓, Rodriguez J. J. ↑,
84', Rodriguez J. J. 🟨,
90', Reyes A. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th and 4th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 1.
Platense has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Motagua shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Platense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Motagua for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Platense has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:40 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Platense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with 11:20 goals (averaging 1.1:2 per game).
Honduras
Watch
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Bonilla M. (G) 
Garcia A. 
De Olivera R. 
Moya J. 
Castillo Marin J. 
Loaiza M. (G) 
Gomez R. 
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