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Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 9
  • Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday
  • Location: Estadio de Balaรญdos (Vigo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Celta de Vigo Real Sociedad
    Celta de Vigo Real Sociedad
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.92 ↓
    (2.13)    		 3.67 ↑
    (3.45)    		 4.74 ↑
    (3.47)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Celta de Vigo
    51.9%    		Draw
    27.1%    		Real Sociedad
    21%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    44.8% 27.7% 27.5%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    39.7% 24.6% 31%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo's performance.
  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    44.7% 28.9% 26.3%

    Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 17 - 44.7%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 28.9% โ€“ 60.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. RomaniaRadu I. (G)
    32. SpainRodriguez J.
      2. SwedenStarfelt C. (C)
    20. SpainAlonso M.
      3. SpainMingueza O.
      6. GuineaMoriba I.
    22. SpainSotelo H.
      5. SpainCarreira S.
      9. SpainJutgla F.
      7. SpainIglesias B.
    18. SpainDuran P.
    		  1. SpainRemiro A. (G)
      2. VenezuelaAramburu J.
      5. SpainZubeldia I.
    16. CroatiaCaleta-Car D.
      3. SpainMunoz A.
    23. SpainMendez B.
    12. VenezuelaHerrera Y.
      4. SpainGorrotxategi J.
    17. SpainGomez S.
    10. SpainOyarzabal M. (C)
      7. SpainBarrenetxea A.
    Substitutes
      4. GhanaAidoo J.
    23. SpainAlvarez H.
    10. SpainAspas I.
      8. SpainBeltran F.
    24. SpainDominguez C.
    39. MoroccoEl Abdellaoui J.
    12. SpainFernandez M.
    14. SpainRodriguez D.
    16. SpainRoman M.
    17. SpainRueda J.
      1. SpainVillar I. (G)
    15. SpainZaragoza B.
    		  6. SpainElustondo A.
    22. SpainGoti Lopez M.
    11. PortugalGuedes G.
    19. SpainKarrikaburu J.
    28. SpainMarin P.
    13. SpainMarrero U. (G)
    31. SpainMartin J.
    20. SpainOdriozola A.
    18. SpainSoler C.
    24. CroatiaSucic L.
      8. SpainTurrientes B.
    21. RussiaZakharyan A.
    Coaches
         SpainGiraldez C.
    		     SpainFrancisco S.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 20', 1 - 0, Duran P. ⚽, Mingueza O. (A),
    • 30', Starfelt C. 🟨,
    • 33', Gomez S. 🟨,
    • 37', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
    • 45+1', Starfelt C. 🟨,
    • 45+1', Herrera Y. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 46', Sotelo H. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
    • 54', Mingueza O. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
    • 54', Iglesias B. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
    • 56', Rueda J. 🟨,
    • 57', Herrera Y. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
    • 67', Mendez B. ↓, Soler C. ↑,
    • 67', Munoz A. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
    • 70', Jutgla F. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
    • 76', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
    • 76', Aramburu J. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
    • 85', Duran P. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
    • 89', 1 - 1, Soler C. ⚽, Guedes G. (A),
    • 90+5', Moriba I. 🟨,

    Preview

  • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2.
  • Celta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Real Sociedad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 1).
  • Celta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Celta: Cervi F. (Coach's decision) Lago Y. (Leg Injury) Ristic M. (Muscle Injury) Swedberg W. (Ankle Injury)
  • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Kubo T. (Ankle Injury) Lebarbier A. (Injury) Oskarsson O. (Thigh Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Sadiq U. (Coach's decision)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Celta de Vigo
    Spanish LaLiga
    05.10.25 Celta de Vigo - Atlรฉtico Madrid 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    02.10.25 Celta de Vigo - PAOK 3:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    28.09.25 Elche - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    25.09.25 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    21.09.25 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9
    TWLLT
    - Real Sociedad
    Spanish LaLiga
    05.10.25 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺
    28.09.25 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 2:1 ✺
    24.09.25 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 1:0 ✺
    19.09.25 Betis - Real Sociedad 3:1 ✺
    13.09.25 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8
    LLWLL
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    13.05.25 Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo 0:1
    21.12.24 Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad 2:0
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    23.01.24 Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga
    20.01.24 Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad 0:1
    19.08.23 Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo 1:1
    18.02.23 Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo 1:1
    16.10.22 Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad 1:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Celta de Vigo
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Celta de Vigo - Juventus ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Elche - Celta de Vigo ✺
    - Real Sociedad
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Saint-Gilloise - Real Sociedad ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Real Sociedad - Deportivo A Coruรฑa ✺

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