Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Real Sociedad		Napoli

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.9
	2.45	3.3	2.95
	2.5	3.4	3.05
	2.4	3.2	2.95
	2.45	3.32	3.08
	2.5	3.2	2.9
	2.62	3.36	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.72)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	2.99 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
38.7%

Draw
29.1%

Napoli
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

20.3%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.2%	42.5%	23.3%

Real Sociedad - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 25 - 34.2%). Napoli will win (votes: 17 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 31 - 42.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 53.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Real Sociedad has a good chance of round of 32 (84%), has a good chance of round of 16 (59%), has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (11%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Napoli has a good chance of round of 32 (66%), has a chance of round of 16 (46%), has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (11%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napoli is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.10.20	Real Sociedad - Motagua	1:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.20	Real Sociedad - Huesca	4:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.10.20	Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Rijeka - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
18.10.20	Real Sociedad - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTWL
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
25.10.20	Benevento - Napoli	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Napoli - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.20	Napoli - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
27.09.20	Napoli - Genoa	6:0 ✺
20.09.20	Parma - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW

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