Match Info

Date: 27 April 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Honduras Progreso		Real de Minas

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.4	4.5
	1.49	4.4	4.75
	1.38	5	6.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (2.55)	4.6 ↑ (3.62)	5.2 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honduras Progreso
62.8%

Draw
19.7%

Real de Minas
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

19.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honduras Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Honduras Progreso's performance.

Real de Minas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real de Minas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Honduras Progreso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real de Minas than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real de Minas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.5%	4.3%	2.2%

Honduras Progreso - Real de Minas Predictions

Users Predictions: 93 users predict this event. Honduras Progreso will win (votes: 87 - 93.5%). Real de Minas will win (votes: 2 - 2.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Honduras Progreso: 88.5% – 98.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Honduras Progreso is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Honduras Progreso won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
21.04.21	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	3:1 ✺
17.04.21	Honduras Progreso - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:5 ✺
11.04.21	Motagua - Honduras Progreso	5:2 ✺
31.03.21	Lobos UPNFM - Honduras Progreso	0:2 ✺
21.03.21	Honduras Progreso - Platense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWT
- Real de Minas FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
21.04.21	CD Marathón - Real de Minas	3:2 ✺
17.04.21	Real de Minas - Vida	2:2 ✺
11.04.21	Real de Minas - Real España	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Motagua - Real de Minas	2:2 ✺
20.03.21	Real de Minas - Lobos UPNFM	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
12.12.20	Real de Minas - Honduras Progreso	3:4
26.01.20	Real de Minas - Honduras Progreso	1:2
25.10.19	Honduras Progreso - Real de Minas	1:0
04.08.19	Real de Minas - Honduras Progreso	1:0
09.05.19	Honduras Progreso - Real de Minas	3:2
05.04.19	Honduras Progreso - Real de Minas	0:0
10.02.19	Real de Minas - Honduras Progreso	3:0

Honduras Progreso - Real de Minas