The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hornchurch 47.1%
Draw 23.7%
Fulham U21 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
22.6%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
22%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hornchurch's performance.
Fulham U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fulham U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hornchurch that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham U21 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fulham U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hornchurch - Fulham U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Byrne R. (G) 10. Balanta A. 5. Baldwin J. (C) 22. Edwards F. 2. Greenidge W. 9. Hearn H. 14. Pegrum C. 11. Sandat H. 7. Walker J. 18. Weston M. 17. Yearwood A.
1. Kaiser D. (G) 2. Benchaita N. 10. Casey D. 4. Cooke L. 6. Kondau-Wall L. 9. Kusi Asare J. (C) 11. Sani J. 3. Slade B. 5. Taylor A. 8. White A. 7. Zepa M.
Substitutes
6. Dallison T. 30. Loft R. 28. McKnight M. 1. Nasta A. (G) 21. Poleon D. 4. Powell J. 29. Sagaf M.
13. Brief Z. (G) 18. Cavell T. 16. Evans A. 17. Morrison K. 19. Obeng-John J. 14. Olyott T. 15. Zaidan-Jones M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Zepa M. ⚽, Taylor A. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Hearn H. ⚽,
39', Sandat H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Weston M. ↓, McKnight M. ↑,
64', Hearn H. ↓, Dallison T. ↑,
64', Baldwin J. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
64', Walker J. ↓, Sagaf M. ↑,
64', Sandat H. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
72', Kusi Asare J. ↓, Evans A. ↑,
77', Dallison T. 🟨,
84', Sani J. ↓, Cavell T. ↑,
84', Zepa M. ↓, Olyott T. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Powell J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Casey D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Balanta A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Olyott T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Loft R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, White A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Dallison T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Slade B. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sagaf M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kondau-Wall L. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Pegrum C. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Cavell T. (Penalty Awarded),
7, McKnight M. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Evans A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 4th and 5th).
In recent outings, Hornchurch has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Fulham U21 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fulham U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Fulham U21 has had a run of games away from home.
Hornchurch is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Last Results with these Odds
Hornchurch - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.86%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.