Match Info

National League - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hornchurch Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	15:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bolivia	14:45	DAZN
Brazil	15:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	13:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
New Zealand	07:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	14:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	02:45	DAZN
Turkey	21:45	DAZN Turkiye
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	15:45	DAZN
Usa	14:45	DAZN USA
Venezuela	14:45	DAZN
International	18:45	DAZN National League


	Hornchurch		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.50	2.90
	2.10	3.40	2.85
	2.17	3.40	3.00
	2.20	3.74	3.14
	2.29	3.52	2.87	Watch
	2.15	3.70	3.00
	2.23	3.55	2.94
	2.09	3.55	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 (2.18)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
42.6%

Draw
26.2%

Aldershot Town
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

26.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

26.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Hornchurch - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hornchurch will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aldershot will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nasta A. (G) 26. Rowe A. 19. Ling S. 3. Inniss R. (C) 6. Dallison T. 2. Greenidge W. 4. Powell J. 27. Massey A. 11. Sandat H. 21. Poleon D. 16. Alexander G.	1. Hayes N. (G) 2. Efete M. 12. Stickland M. (C) 17. Dyce T. 6. Odusanya D. 21. Peart B. 23. Lawless C. 18. Adom-Malaki N. 9. Dinanga M. 20. Wyllie M. 11. Sandah H.
Substitutes
10. Balanta A. 5. Baldwin J. 13. Byrne R. (G) 9. Hearn H. 14. Pegrum C. 7. Walker J. 17. Yearwood A.	7. Abrahams T. 27. Alves J. 4. Borgnis J. 3. Harfield O. 40. Macaulay J. (G) 16. Matton J. 24. Oladunjoye E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Poleon D. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Sandah H. ⚽, Dinanga M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, Alexander G. ⚽,
64', Wyllie M. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,
64', Peart B. ↓, Alves J. ↑,
71', Odusanya D. 🟨,
75', Ling S. ↓, Baldwin J. ↑,
75', Sandat H. ↓, Pegrum C. ↑,
83', Rowe A. ↓, Yearwood A. ↑,
83', Alexander G. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
86', Poleon D. ↓, Balanta A. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Dyce T. ↓, Matton J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Hornchurch is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Hornchurch - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.01%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Aldershot Town - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.05%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League
26.09.26	Altrincham - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Hornchurch - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Worthing - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Halifax Town - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Hornchurch - Ipswich Town U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLW
- Aldershot Town
English National League
26.09.26	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	5:1 ✺
19.09.26	Barrow - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Solihull Moors - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Aldershot Town - West Ham United U21	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWL

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