Match Info

National League - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hornchurch Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	18:30	DAZN
Argentina	13:30	DAZN
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Bolivia	12:30	DAZN
Brazil	13:30	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	19:30	DAZN
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Croatia	18:30	DAZN
Cyprus	19:30	DAZN
Czech Republic	18:30	DAZN
Denmark	18:30	DAZN
Ecuador	11:30	DAZN
Finland	19:30	DAZN
France	18:30	DAZN France
Germany	18:30	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:30	DAZN
Hungary	18:30	DAZN
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	22:30	DAZN
Latvia	19:30	DAZN
Lithuania	19:30	DAZN
New Zealand	04:30	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	18:30	DAZN
Norway	18:30	DAZN
Paraguay	12:30	DAZN
Poland	18:30	DAZN
Portugal	17:30	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	19:30	DAZN
Serbia	18:30	DAZN
Slovenia	18:30	DAZN
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	DAZN
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	00:30	DAZN
Turkey	19:30	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	19:30	DAZN
United Kingdom	17:30	DAZN
Uruguay	13:30	DAZN
Usa	12:30	DAZN USA
Venezuela	12:30	DAZN
International	16:30	DAZN National League


	Hornchurch		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.88
	2.35	3.30	2.50
	2.25	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.24	3.65	3.11
	2.48	3.55	2.6	Watch
	2.18	3.6	3.05
	2.21	3.59	2.95	Watch
	2.27	3.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.47)	3.51 ↑ (3.47)	2.85 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
40.9%

Draw
26.5%

Scunthorpe United
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37%

26.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Hornchurch - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nasta A. (G) 12. Kizzi J. 3. Inniss R. 6. Dallison T. 19. Ling S. 4. Powell J. 8. Wraight T. (C) 26. Rowe A. 25. Bracking M. 11. Sandat H. 7. Walker J.	25. Campbell M. (G) 21. Starbuck J. 5. Evans W. (C) 15. Ashbee S. 33. Denton T. 23. Butterfield J. 8. Beestin A. 31. Gale J. 18. Hurst K. 16. Sellars-Fleming T. 9. Whitehall D.
Substitutes
13. Byrne R. (G) 22. Edwards F. 15. Ferguson N. 9. Hearn H. 14. Pegrum C. 21. Poleon D. 17. Yearwood A.	20. Bailey J. 44. Barrows R. 10. Brennan L. 1. Jones L. (G) 22. Ogle R. 12. Parker H. 2. Rose O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Kizzi J. ↓, Edwards F. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Gale J. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
61', Ashbee S. 🟨,
67', Sandat H. ↓, Poleon D. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Inniss R. ⚽, Dallison T. (A),
72', Whitehall D. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
72', Hurst K. ↓, Bailey J. ↑,
82', Butterfield J. 🟨,
83', Walker J. ↓, Hearn H. ↑,
83', Powell J. ↓, Ferguson N. ↑,
83', Bracking M. ↓, Yearwood A. ↑,
85', Beestin A. ↓, Ogle R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 20th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Scunthorpe may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Hornchurch	15	7	0	8	17:23	-6	21
22	Scunthorpe	14	3	1	10	18:28	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

Hornchurch - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Scunthorpe United - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.69%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League North
15.09.26	Worthing - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Halifax Town - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Hornchurch - Ipswich Town U21	3:0 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Hornchurch - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
English National League North
31.08.26	Boston United - Hornchurch	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWLW
- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
16.09.26	Scunthorpe United - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Scunthorpe United - Nottingham Forest U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Scunthorpe United - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLL

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