The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Scunthorpe United 35.9%
Draw 26.3%
Harrogate Town 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
25.3%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
25.8%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scunthorpe United's form might have worsened.
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harrogate Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harrogate Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Scunthorpe United - Harrogate Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jones L. (G) 44. Barrows R. 5. Evans W. (C) 4. Belehouan J. 3. Horton B. 14. Jones P. 11. Rowley J. 8. Beestin A. 23. Butterfield J. 9. Whitehall D. 16. Sellars-Fleming T.
30. Watson R. (G) 6. Burrell W. 16. Dreyer S. 4. Baptiste A. 9. McCoulsky S. 24. Cass L. 14. Williams M. 15. Hobson B. 11. McGowan W. 17. Hmami J. 3. Bristow E.
Substitutes
43. Ashbee S. 10. Brennan L. 25. Campbell M. (G) 31. Gale J. 7. Howe D. 18. Hurst K. 12. Parker H.
29. Barnes L. 5. Bradbury T. 23. Dolaghan B. 35. McGuckin C. 1. Oxley M. (G) 21. Taylor E. 7. Thomson G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Evans W. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, McGowan W. ⚽, Cass L. (A),
43', Rowley J. 🟨,
45', Beestin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Watson R. ↓, Oxley M. ↑,
49', Baptiste A. 🟨,
51', 0 - 2, McCoulsky S. ⚽,
52', 🟨,
58', Burrell W. 🟨,
62', Jones P. ↓, Brennan L. ↑,
62', Barrows R. ↓, Ashbee S. ↑,
62', Rowley J. ↓, Gale J. ↑,
62', Whitehall D. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
68', McGowan W. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
68', Hmami J. ↓, McGuckin C. ↑,
68', Baptiste A. ↓, Horton G. ↑,
76', Sellars-Fleming T. ↓, Howe D. ↑,
83', Williams M. ↓, Barnes L. ↑,
Preview
Recent performances by Scunthorpe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Harrogate is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 2.3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Scunthorpe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Harrogate
13
9
1
3
29:17
12
28
22
Scunthorpe
12
3
1
8
15:21
-6
10
Last Results with these Odds
Scunthorpe United - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Harrogate Town - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.51%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.