Match Info

National League South - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Totton

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	3.9
	1.77	3.77	4.05	Watch
	1.76	3.8	4.22
	1.72	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	4.04 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
52.7%

Draw
24.5%

Totton
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

25.5%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

24.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-1%)

Hornchurch - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, Henry A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, Oastler J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 8).

Hornchurch is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Totton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Hornchurch has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hornchurch is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Brentwood Town - Hornchurch	0:1 penalties ✺
English National League South
10.11.25	Chelmsford City - Hornchurch	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Hornchurch - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Torquay United - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWTW
- AFC Totton
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Folkestone Invicta - Totton	1:2 ✺
English National League South
11.11.25	Worthing - Totton	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Totton - Ebbsfleet United	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Totton - Maidenhead United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Macclesfield Town - Totton	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWL

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