Match Info

National League South - Round 13

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Chelmsford City		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.2	2.52
	2.67	3.2	2.56
	2.64	3.28	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.13	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.64)	3.2 ↓ (3.28)	2.55 (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
35.3%

Draw
28.7%

Hornchurch
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28.3%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.8%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Chelmsford City - Hornchurch Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chelmsford will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Hornchurch will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Chelmsford (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmsford (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Adigun J. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Taylor L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Chelmsford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hornchurch is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chelmsford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmsford City - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
08.11.25	Chelmsford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chelmsford City	2:4 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	4:1 ✺
English National League South
28.10.25	Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Totton - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWWWL
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
08.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Hornchurch - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Torquay United - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hornchurch - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hornchurch - Bath City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.01.25	Chelmsford City - Hornchurch	2:1
21.09.24	Hornchurch - Chelmsford City	0:2
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Hornchurch - Chelmsford City	0:2
English National League South
30.10.12	Hornchurch - Chelmsford City	0:2

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