Match Info

National League South - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Folkestone Invicta		Totton

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.90	4.20
	1.60	3.85	4.25
	1.65	4.22	4.34
	1.66	4.23	4.28	Watch
	1.60	4.10	4.25
	1.60	3.96	4.39
	1.59	4.00	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)	4.04 ↑ (3.7)	4.27 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
56.3%

Draw
22.5%

Totton
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Folkestone Invicta - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Thomas D. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Kelman B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 2 - 1, Fletcher W. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 15th and 21st in the Relegation).

Recent results have been tough for Folkestone (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Totton is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Folkestone could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Folkestone for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Folkestone has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Folkestone against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Folkestone	14	5	4	5	20:16	4	19
16	AFC Totton	14	5	1	8	13:24	-11	16

Outrights of English National League South for now

Folkestone: 2.2% AFC Totton: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English National League South
10.10.26	Weston-super-Mare - Folkestone Invicta	1:1 ✺
06.10.26	Ebbsfleet United - Folkestone Invicta	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Salisbury - Folkestone Invicta	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Folkestone Invicta - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLT
- AFC Totton
English National League South
13.10.26	Ebbsfleet United - Totton	5:0 ✺
10.10.26	Totton - Walton & Hersham	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Dover Athletic - Totton	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Totton - Slough Town	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Weston-super-Mare - Totton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Folkestone Invicta - Totton	1:2

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