Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 30

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Whitehawk		Horsham

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.7
	4.1	3.75	1.7
	4.09	3.68	1.8
	3.98	3.79	1.75
	3	4.2	1.83
	3.73	4.14	1.79
	4.1	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.34)	3.84 ↓ (3.99)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitehawk
23.9%

Draw
23.8%

Horsham
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

22.8%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

22.3%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitehawk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Whitehawk - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Philpott I. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Hammond J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 2, Kayani I. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Horsham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Horsham is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Whitehawk won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Whitehawk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitehawk
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.02.25	Potters Bar Town - Whitehawk	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Whitehawk - Cray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Whitehawk - Lewes	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Cheshunt - Whitehawk	1:4 ✺
13.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWWWT
- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.02.25	Horsham - Hastings United	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Horsham - Dulwich Hamlet	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Lewes - Horsham	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Hendon - Horsham	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.10.24	Horsham - Whitehawk	5:0
01.01.24	Horsham - Whitehawk	0:1
28.08.23	Whitehawk - Horsham	3:1

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