The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Houston Dynamo 59%
Draw 22.6%
Toronto FC 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
24.5%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
23.9%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Dynamo's performance.
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Dynamo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.9%
0%
7.1%
Houston Dynamo - Toronto FC Predictions
Users Predictions:
Houston Dynamo will win
(26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%). Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Clark S. (G) 25. Dorsey G. 28. Sviatchenko E. 31. Micael 2. Escobar F. 16. Herrera H. (C) 6. Artur 15. Blessing L. 8. Bassi A. 18. Aliyu I. 10. Ponce E.
1. Johnson S. (G) 27. O'Neill S. 5. Long K. 17. Rosted S. 10. Bernardeschi F. 8. Longstaff M. 20. Flores D. 22. Laryea R. 11. Etienne D. 21. Osorio J. (C) 99. Owusu P.
Substitutes
4. Bartlow E. 37. Ennali L. 11. Ferreira S. 21. Gregus J. 27. Kowalczyk S. 35. Raines B. 3. Smith B. 5. Steres D. 13. Tarbell A. (G)
19. Franklin K. 90. Gavran L. (G) 29. Kerr D. 6. Mabika A. 23. Servania B. 38. Sharp C. 47. Thompson K. 30. Wingo H.
Coaches
Olsen B.
Herdman J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Osorio J. 🟨,
45', Flores D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Owusu P. ⚽, Bernardeschi F. (A),
60', Aliyu I. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
60', Blessing L. ↓, Kowalczyk S. ↑,
61', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Wingo H. ↑,
61', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
73', O'Neill S. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
73', Longstaff M. ↓, Thompson K. ↑,
78', Kowalczyk S. 🟨,
78', Sviatchenko E. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
79', Laryea R. ↓, Mabika A. ↑,
79', Etienne D. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
79', Bassi A. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Dorsey G. ↓, Steres D. ↑,
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Houston won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Recently Toronto have a series of guest games.
In this match Houston is a favorite.
There will not play in Houston: Quinones N.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Toronto: Petretta R.
(Yellow Cards)
Spicer T.
(Back Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Houston won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Houston won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.
Last Results with these Odds
Houston Dynamo - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Usa
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Clark S. (G) 
Sviatchenko E. 
Micael 
Escobar F. 
Herrera H. (C) 
Blessing L. 
Bassi A. 
Aliyu I. 
Long K. 
Rosted S. 
Bernardeschi F. 
Longstaff M. 
Flores D. 
Laryea R. 
Etienne D. 
Owusu P. 
Ferreira S. 
Gregus J. 
Kowalczyk S. 
Smith B. 
Mabika A. 
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