Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Location: BMO Field (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 3
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Pachuca		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.35	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.48	3.45	2.99
	2.39	3.46	2.91	Watch
	2.33	3.55	2.94	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.6)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	2.89 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
39.8%

Draw
27.7%

Toronto FC
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

27.4%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Pachuca - Toronto FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (G) 32. Sanchez C. 33. Micolta A. 2. Barreto S. D. 3. Aceves A. 186. Saldivar J. 14. Gonzalez A. 10. Mena A. 191. De Los Rios S. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.	1. Johnson S. (G) 15. Gomis N. 5. Long K. 28. Petretta R. 10. Bernardeschi F. 21. Osorio J. 8. Longstaff M. 22. Laryea R. 11. Etienne D. 24. Insigne L. 47. Thompson K.
Substitutes
190. Alvarez G. 9. Baston B. 35. Berlanga J. 22. Cabral G. 6. Deossa N. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 27. Gonzalez O. 8. Lopez J. 26. Marchand J. 199. Puente L. 13. Rodas C. (G) 24. Rodriguez L.	82. Altobelli J. 20. Flores D. 19. Franklin K. 90. Gavran L. (G) 6. Mabika A. 12. Mailula C. 7. Marshall-Rutty J. 27. O'Neill S. 99. Owusu P. 18. Ranjitsingh G. (G) 17. Rosted S. 30. Wingo H.
Coaches
Almada G.	Herdman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Saldivar J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Etienne D. ⚽, Insigne L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Deossa N. ↑,
57', Aceves A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
57', Mena A. ↓, Marchand J. ↑,
57', De Los Rios S. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Idrissi O. ⚽,
59', Gomis N. 🟨,
66', Etienne D. ↓, Owusu P. ↑,
67', Laryea R. ↓, Marshall-Rutty J. ↑,
67', Petretta R. ↓, Wingo H. ↑,
71', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
71', Insigne L. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Franklin K. ⚽, Marshall-Rutty J. (A),
82', Saldivar J. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
90+2', Owusu P. 🟨,
90+3', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
90+4', Longstaff M. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pachuca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Toronto have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Toronto: Servania B. (Knee Injury) Spicer T. (Back Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca
CONCACAF League Cup
30.07.24	Pachuca - New York Red Bulls	2:1 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
21.07.24	UNAM - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Pachuca - Atlético San Luis	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Club León - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Pachuca - Monterrey	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWTL
- Toronto FC
CONCACAF League Cup
27.07.24	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	0:1 penalties ✺
MLS
20.07.24	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
17.07.24	Inter Miami - Toronto FC	3:1 ✺
13.07.24	Toronto FC - Philadelphia Union	2:1 ✺
Canadian Championship
10.07.24	Forge - Toronto FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLWL

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