Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio CAP (Talcahuano)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)


	Huachipato		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.2
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.52	3.25	2.23
	3.52	3.25	2.23
	3.2	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.34	2.23	Watch
	3.2	3.15	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.32)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	2.2 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huachipato
28%

Draw
29.3%

Estudiantes La Plata
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

28.6%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

27.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Huachipato - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra M. (G) 5. Loyola F. 4. Gazzolo B. (C) 3. Gonzales 28. Gutierrez M. 20. Martinez J. A. 15. Silva S. 8. Montes G. 26. Diaz L. 9. Rodriguez M. 23. Martinez C.	12. Mansilla M. (G) 20. Meza E. 6. Fernandez F. 2. Romero Z. 14. Mancuso E. 32. Palacios T. 5. Ascacibar S. 22. Perez E. 16. Mendez M. 7. Sosa J. 27. Correa J.
Substitutes
21. Brea 22. Carcamo J. 2. Castillo A. 18. Gutierrez Jara J. I. 17. Lopez Z. (G) 13. Malanca R. 19. Oyarzun Saravia J. D. 11. Saez S. 29. Torres Gaete C. G. 30. Vargas J. 27. Vega F. 14. Villanueva C.	29. Atum A. 19. Castillo Manyoma A. 3. Fernandez N. 4. Flores S. 31. Gomez R. 24. Kociubinski B. 26. Lollo L. 23. Naya E. 10. Piatti P. 15. Zapiola F. 25. Zozaya J. (G) 8. Zuqui F.
Coaches
Sanguinetti J.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
34', Palacios T. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Correa J. ⚽, Palacios T. (A),
45', Gonzales ↓, Malanca R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Meza E. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
62', Gutierrez M. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
62', Martinez J. A. ↓, Brea ↑,
62', Palacios T. ↓, Zuqui F. ↑,
70', Mendez M. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Martinez C. ⚽, Brea (A),
89', Correa J. ↓, Naya E. ↑,
90', Diaz L. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
90', Martinez C. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
90+4', Zapiola F. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Huachipato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estudiantes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estudiantes will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
30.03.24	Huachipato - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Huachipato - Deportes Copiapó	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Cobresal - Huachipato	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Huachipato - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWLL
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.03.24	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Super Cup
13.03.24	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.03.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	3:1 ✺
06.03.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Godoy Cruz - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW

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