Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero (Talcahuano)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV1
Spain	beIN Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, Fanatiz


	Huachipato		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.6
	2.1	3.2	3.6	Watch
	2.12	3.18	3.85
	2.11	3.23	3.76	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.07	3.24	3.66	Watch
	2.07	3.15	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.01)	3.18 ↓ (3.28)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huachipato
45.1%

Draw
29.5%

Racing Montevideo
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

28.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Huachipato - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huachipato: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra M. (G) 18. Gutierrez Jara J. I. 13. Malanca R. 4. Gazzolo B. (C) 2. Castillo A. 8. Montes G. 14. Villanueva C. 15. Silva S. 28. Gutierrez M. 9. Rodriguez M. 23. Martinez C.	25. Odriozola R. (C) 4. Cotugno G. 2. Magallanes H. 5. Monzon L. 29. Hernandez A. 14. De Los Santos E. 21. Rodriguez L. 17. Ferreira M. 20. Urretaviscaya J. 26. Silveira H. 9. Nandin D.
Substitutes
21. Brea 7. Briceno M. 22. Carcamo J. 24. Cerda F. (G) 16. Conelli V. 26. Diaz L. 3. Gonzales 10. Palmezano B. 11. Saez S. 6. Sepulveda C. 30. Vargas J.	19. Airala C. 18. Alaniz A. 1. Bacchia R. (G) 32. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 8. Gorocito L. 77. Mederos S. 33. Peralta G. 34. Pereira A. 10. Rivero J. 22. Severo A. 24. Teliz R. 27. Veron T.
Coaches
Troncoso F.	Espinel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Martinez C. ⚽,
17', Magallanes H. 🟨,
30', Malanca R. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Cotugno G. ⚽, Urretaviscaya J. (A),
38', 1 - 2, Nandin D. ⚽, Urretaviscaya J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 3, Cotugno G. ⚽, Urretaviscaya J. (A),
56', Monzon L. 🟨,
58', Gutierrez M. ↓, Palmezano B. ↑,
63', 2 - 3, Martinez C. ⚽,
66', Martinez C. 🟨,
66', Nandin D. 🟨,
73', Hernandez A. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
73', Monzon L. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
73', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Veron T. ↑,
81', Villanueva C. ↓, Brea ↑,
82', Martinez C. ↓, Conelli V. ↑,
84', Rodriguez L. ↓, Mederos S. ↑,
86', Ferreira M. 🟨,
88', Rodriguez M. ↓, Saez S. ↑,
88', Montes G. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
90+3', Nandin D. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Huachipato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Huachipato is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
20.06.24	Ñublense - Huachipato	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.06.24	Huachipato - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
29.05.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Huachipato	3:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.05.24	Huachipato - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Huachipato - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 LLWWL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.07.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Progreso - Racing Montevideo	3:2 ✺
22.06.24	Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
16.06.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Racing Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLTW

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