Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 15

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Xinhua Road Sports Center (Wuhan)


	Hubei Istar		Dalian Kun City

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.25
				Watch
	2.73	2.86	2.49
	2.69	3.09	2.54	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	2.61	3.13	2.48
	2.9	3.15	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.04)	3.07 ↓ (3.31)	2.36 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubei Istar
32.1%

Draw
29.5%

Dalian Kun City
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27.4%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+5%)

Hubei Istar - Dalian Kun City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Hu Guiying (G) 47. Sun Kangbo 73. Yu G. 41. Yu Jingcheng 64. Wei Z. 65. Memetimin Mewlan 55. Xia Z. 51. Gao S. 48. Wang Z. 52. Huang W. 45. Huang K.	16. Wang Zhuo (G) 32. Song Chen 18. Ren W. 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 6. Ge Hailun 28. Cui Hao 23. Yin Lu 49. Yan Shoukuan 25. Cong Zhen 30. Yu Zeyuan 55. Ali M.
Substitutes
66. Cui Shengcheng 72. Fan X. 68. Huang Jiale 69. Lin Shangyuan 56. Liu Xin 49. Wang D. 43. Wang Xinghao (G) 58. Wang Z. 70. Wei Suowei 42. Xia Jiayi 63. Zhang J. 61. Zhong Minghzi	47. Ablimit F. 26. Cai Haochen (G) 21. Chen Rong 11. Ge Yuxiang 4. Liu J. 40. Liu Zhizhi 14. Li Xudong 24. Ouyang Bang 57. Sodorhu 17. Yang Fan 60. Zhong Ziqin 9. Zhou Bingxu
Coaches
Gao Feng	Zhao Faqing

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Yu Jingcheng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wei Z. ↓, Wei Suowei ↑,
46', Memetimin Mewlan ↓, Fan X. ↑,
46', Xia Z. ↓, Liu Xin ↑,
46', Yu Zeyuan ↓, Chen Rong ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Ali M. ⚽, Cong Zhen (A),
67', Yan Shoukuan ↓, Zhong Ziqin ↑,
67', Cong Zhen ↓, Ouyang Bang ↑,
73', Gao S. ↓, Huang Jiale ↑,
73', Wang Z. ↓, Zhang J. ↑,
73', Cui Hao ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
77', Yu G. 🟨,
83', Ren W. ↓, Li Xudong ↑,
90', Ouyang Bang 🟨,
90+2', Liu Xin 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League
30.06.24	Hubei Istar - Taian Tiankuang	4:0 ✺
21.06.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Hubei Istar	2:3 ✺
16.06.24	Hubei Istar - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Hubei Istar	3:2 ✺
02.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Hubei Istar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL
- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Yi League
29.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Beijing Institute of Technology	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Dalian Kun City	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Shandong Taishan B	0:2 ✺
01.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
27.04.24	Dalian Kun City - Hubei Istar	3:1

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